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Hand-drawn total solar eclipse with the dark Moon surrounded by the solar corona.
Notes

Modeling the COVID-19 / Coronavirus pandemic – 3.The effects of several populations

The next interesting question to ask when studying the coronavirus, is what is the effect of a mixed population which has different infection rates. That is, that some individuals are more infectious than others (e.g., a cashier in the supermarket vs. a farmer). Spoiler: it turns out that unless there are super-spreaders then all you care about is the arithmetic average of the transmission coefficient.

Apr 13, 2020standard
Notes

Modeling the COVID-19 / Coronavirus pandemic – 2.Simple Models

Armed with the data on the coronavirus such as the serial interval, incubation period, and the base growth rate, we are now in a position to start modeling the pandemic. Note that as the title suggests, these are simple models. Any conclusions drawn from this specific page should…

Apr 09, 2020standard
Notes

Modeling the COVID-19 / Coronavirus pandemic – 1.Background Data

This is the first in a series of posts in which I study the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic. My original goal was to understand the behavior of the pandemic. As a scientists my curiosity forces me to not to leave such problems untouched. I wanted to know what are the possible…

Apr 07, 2020standard
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  1. 01Astrophysics

    Stars, galaxies, cosmology, and the physical universe.

  2. 02Physics

    Mechanics, thermodynamics, and useful physical reasoning.

  3. 03Climate

    Climate systems, evidence, uncertainty, and interpretation.

  4. 04Computing

    Numerical methods, software, and practical computation.

  5. 05Notes

    Short observations from a scientist’s working notebook.